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Eastern Africa and the Horn

Uganda
The inside story of Bobi Wine's escape

The opposition leader, whose real name is Robert Kyagulanyi Ssentamu, took advantage of tensions at the highest levels of government to secure the help of certain senior officials and make his escape. President Yoweri Museveni and his eldest son disagree on how to deal with him.

Subscribers only Politics 23.03.2026

Ethiopia
'Strategic' leadership in Tigray gears up for potential war

The Tigrayan command is preparing for the official end of the term of its interim president Tadesse Werede Tesfay. Despite regular contact with Eritrea, a circumstantial ally against the federal power in Addis Ababa, differences of opinion remain.

Subscribers only Politics 23.03.2026

Inner circle | Kenya
Ruto's security apparatus explained

Kenyan President William Ruto in Nairobi, on 17 October 2025. © Gerald Anderson/Anadolu via AFP

Subscribers only Defence 20.03.2026

Sudan
Ceasefire talks grind forward between warring parties ahead of Berlin conference

The regular army and its paramilitary foes are each working separately on the plan proposed by the Quad, which calls for a 90-day ceasefire and the demilitarisation of certain areas. However, numerous obstacles remain, whilst clashes continue.

Subscribers only Defence, Diplomacy 20.03.2026

Kenya
Former tax chief Anthony Mwaura's questionable business contracts

Although head of a state agency, this senior figure in the president's party has not given up his business activities in either the construction or financial sectors. Yet the awarding of major public contracts to a company owned by this influential government official raises a number of questions.

Subscribers only Politics, Business 20.03.2026

Ethiopia, Sudan
Ex-peacekeepers from Tigray now refugees in Sudan bear brunt of cuts to international aid

More than a hundred Ethiopian soldiers previously deployed in Sudan as part of a UN peacekeeping mission have been taking refuge in the east of the country since the war in Tigray, Ethiopia. They have protested against the reduction to humanitarian aid.

Subscribers only Defence, Diplomacy 19.03.2026

Sudan
Row over Tasis and Islamists delays launch of milestone national dialogue

International stakeholders gathered in Cairo earlier this month to lay the groundwork for upcoming talks between Sudan's civilian groups, but the mediators still face numerous obstacles. Meanwhile, Port Sudan is speeding up the process of setting up a parliament.

Subscribers only Politics 18.03.2026

Uganda
President Museveni tries to woo an opposition deprived of its leaders

The government hopes to take advantage of Bobi Wine's absence to win over supporters of his movement, the National Unity Platform. Despite improved electoral results, the president's party fears the disruptive potential of its opponents.

Subscribers only Politics 17.03.2026

Kenya
Ruto persuaded by his neighbours to roll back privatisation of port authority

The presidents of Uganda and Rwanda were concerned that their imports from Mombasa would become more expensive if the Kenya Ports Authority was sold off. The Kenyan head of state has ultimately opted for a compromise solution.

Subscribers only Business, Diplomacy 16.03.2026

Ethiopia, Sudan
Sudanese rebel leader Joseph Tuka's close ties to the Ethiopian border

An ally of the Rapid Support Forces paramilitaries fighting the regular Sudanese army, Joseph Tuka plays a key role in the south of the country. His connections, which extend to the Ethiopian region of Benishangul-Gumuz, are both military and commercial in nature.

Subscribers only Politics 16.03.2026

East Africa
Behind the scenes of Ruto and Museveni's bid to save EAC

Led by Kenya's president, the founding countries of the East African Community are reclaiming control of an organisation in deep crisis, pushing through a raft of reforms whose implementation already looks fraught.

Subscribers only Diplomacy 13.03.2026

The heads of state and government of the member countries of the East African Community gathered in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania, on 8 February 2025.

Egypt, Sudan
Cairo increasingly drawn into the Sudan conflict

Egypt has intensified its support for Abdel Fattah al-Burhan's regular army since its defeat in El Fasher in October. The war in Iran offers the Sudanese Armed Forces commander a decisive opportunity to launch an offensive in western Sudan, with the strategic support of his allies.

Subscribers only Defence 13.03.2026

South Sudan
Opposition to Salva Kiir builds united front

Riek Machar is establishing a formal partnership between his movement and the United People's Alliance, a coalition of anti-government forces.

Subscribers only Politics 13.03.2026

Kenya
Ruto to carry Africa's voice from Nairobi summit to the G7

The conclusions of the Africa Forward summit, which will take place in Nairobi from 11 to 12 May, will be taken mid-June to the G7 in Évian, France, by William Ruto, who has been invited alongside other non-member leaders.

Subscribers only Diplomacy 12.03.2026

French President Emmanuel Macron and his Kenyan counterpart William Ruto at the G7 summit in Borgo Egnazia, Italy, on 14 June 2024.

Kenya
Ruto's right-hand man calls ministers to order

Energy ministry officials are coordinating their activities more closely with the president's chief of staff, Felix Koskei, who was annoyed to see them touring their constituencies rather than attending important meetings.

Subscribers only Politics 12.03.2026

Africa
Macky Sall's push to lead UN sparks divisions within AU

The pan-African organisation, along with several of its member countries, has expressed surprise at the methods used to select the former Senegalese president as Africa's candidate for the position of United Nations Secretary-General.

Subscribers only Politics, Diplomacy 11.03.2026

Sudan
Port Sudan government finds new Washington ally

The Sudanese ambassador to the United States signed a contract with a Washington-based public relations firm for approximately $60,000 per month.

Subscribers only Business, Diplomacy 11.03.2026

Somalia
Future of AU mission clouded by extended political crisis

The executive is increasingly favouring bilateral partnerships at the expense of the African Union's peacekeeping mission, which has yet to finalise its 2025 budget. Rising tensions between President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud and his opponents are further complicating negotiations.

Subscribers only Defence 10.03.2026

Somali President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud in Davos, Switzerland, on 22 January 2025.

Ethiopia
Addis Ababa steps up efforts to join the World Trade Organization

Ethiopian trade minister Kassahun Gofe will lead a delegation to Yaoundé, Cameroon, for the WTO's 14th Ministerial Conference. His teams are working to meet the demands of member states, including those of the United Kingdom.

Subscribers only Diplomacy 10.03.2026

Sudan
Watan alliance wants say in Quintet discussions

Those disappointed with Sudan's main political parties have come together to form a new group close to the army. The group wants to participate in political debates within a future parliament, the formation of which is in the works despite the ongoing war.

Subscribers only Politics 09.03.2026

Spotlight | Kenya
Nairobi and Moscow to address perilous issue of Kenyan soldiers recruited by Russian army

Amid a scandal involving a recruitment network sending Kenyan fighters to the Ukrainian front, the two countries are struggling to agree on the agenda for Musalia Mudavadi's visit to the Russian capital, set for mid-March.

Subscribers only Diplomacy 06.03.2026

Kenyan Prime Cabinet Secretary Musalia Mudavadi speaks in Nairobi in January 2026.

Kenya, Uganda
Agribusiness giant Del Monte turns to Kampala

The local subsidiary of US company Fresh Del Monte has started sourcing from Uganda to offset falling domestic fruit production.

Subscribers only Business 06.03.2026

Ethiopia
Swiss entrepreneur Josua Gehrig again in federal court's sights

The owner of Elim Farms has been accused of funding the Tigray People’s Liberation Front during the Tigray war.

Subscribers only Politics 05.03.2026

South Sudan
The turbulent rise of Kiir's new right-hand man Africano Mande

The minister of presidential affairs has reformed procedures at the State House, at the risk of making a few enemies. He is facing veiled criticism from rivals, who are questioning his growing influence.

Subscribers only Politics 04.03.2026

South Sudanese Minister of Presidential Affairs Africano Mande.

Ethiopia
Armed opposition to TPLF in Tigray tempted to return to the fold

In Mekele, young politician Shewit Bitew has set about shutting down the Tigray Peace Forces, which he had nonetheless established last year. The opposition militia has become caught up in the power struggles affecting the region's main party.

Subscribers only Defence, Politics 04.03.2026

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Eastern Africa and the Horn

Uganda
The inside story of Bobi Wine's escape

Ethiopia
'Strategic' leadership in Tigray gears up for potential war

Inner circle | Kenya
Ruto's security apparatus explained

Sudan
Ceasefire talks grind forward between warring parties ahead of Berlin conference

Kenya
Former tax chief Anthony Mwaura's questionable business contracts

Ethiopia, Sudan
Ex-peacekeepers from Tigray now refugees in Sudan bear brunt of cuts to international aid

Sudan
Row over Tasis and Islamists delays launch of milestone national dialogue

Uganda
President Museveni tries to woo an opposition deprived of its leaders

Kenya
Ruto persuaded by his neighbours to roll back privatisation of port authority

Ethiopia, Sudan
Sudanese rebel leader Joseph Tuka's close ties to the Ethiopian border

East Africa
Behind the scenes of Ruto and Museveni's bid to save EAC

Egypt, Sudan
Cairo increasingly drawn into the Sudan conflict

South Sudan
Opposition to Salva Kiir builds united front

Kenya
Ruto to carry Africa's voice from Nairobi summit to the G7

Kenya
Ruto's right-hand man calls ministers to order

Africa
Macky Sall's push to lead UN sparks divisions within AU

Sudan
Port Sudan government finds new Washington ally

Somalia
Future of AU mission clouded by extended political crisis

Ethiopia
Addis Ababa steps up efforts to join the World Trade Organization

Sudan
Watan alliance wants say in Quintet discussions

Spotlight | Kenya
Nairobi and Moscow to address perilous issue of Kenyan soldiers recruited by Russian army

Kenya, Uganda
Agribusiness giant Del Monte turns to Kampala

Ethiopia
Swiss entrepreneur Josua Gehrig again in federal court's sights

South Sudan
The turbulent rise of Kiir's new right-hand man Africano Mande

Ethiopia
Armed opposition to TPLF in Tigray tempted to return to the fold

The weekly summary

About Africa Intelligence

Subscription

Africa Intelligence on social media

Indigo Publications' websites

About Africa Intelligence

Subscription

Indigo Publications' websites

Ibrahim Traoré

Virtus Minerals

Paul Kagame

Savannah Energy

Denis Sassou-Nguesso

Eastern Africa and the Horn

Uganda The inside story of Bobi Wine's escape

Ethiopia 'Strategic' leadership in Tigray gears up for potential war

Inner circle | Kenya Ruto's security apparatus explained

Sudan Ceasefire talks grind forward between warring parties ahead of Berlin conference

Kenya Former tax chief Anthony Mwaura's questionable business contracts

Ethiopia, Sudan Ex-peacekeepers from Tigray now refugees in Sudan bear brunt of cuts to international aid

Sudan Row over Tasis and Islamists delays launch of milestone national dialogue

Uganda President Museveni tries to woo an opposition deprived of its leaders

Kenya Ruto persuaded by his neighbours to roll back privatisation of port authority

Ethiopia, Sudan Sudanese rebel leader Joseph Tuka's close ties to the Ethiopian border

East Africa Behind the scenes of Ruto and Museveni's bid to save EAC

Egypt, Sudan Cairo increasingly drawn into the Sudan conflict

South Sudan Opposition to Salva Kiir builds united front

Kenya Ruto to carry Africa's voice from Nairobi summit to the G7

Kenya Ruto's right-hand man calls ministers to order

Africa Macky Sall's push to lead UN sparks divisions within AU

Sudan Port Sudan government finds new Washington ally

Somalia Future of AU mission clouded by extended political crisis

Ethiopia Addis Ababa steps up efforts to join the World Trade Organization

Sudan Watan alliance wants say in Quintet discussions

Spotlight | Kenya Nairobi and Moscow to address perilous issue of Kenyan soldiers recruited by Russian army

Kenya, Uganda Agribusiness giant Del Monte turns to Kampala

Ethiopia Swiss entrepreneur Josua Gehrig again in federal court's sights

South Sudan The turbulent rise of Kiir's new right-hand man Africano Mande

Ethiopia Armed opposition to TPLF in Tigray tempted to return to the fold

The weekly summary

About Africa Intelligence

Subscription

Africa Intelligence on social media

Indigo Publications' websites

Uganda
The inside story of Bobi Wine's escape

Ethiopia
'Strategic' leadership in Tigray gears up for potential war

Inner circle | Kenya
Ruto's security apparatus explained

Sudan
Ceasefire talks grind forward between warring parties ahead of Berlin conference

Kenya
Former tax chief Anthony Mwaura's questionable business contracts

Ethiopia, Sudan
Ex-peacekeepers from Tigray now refugees in Sudan bear brunt of cuts to international aid

Sudan
Row over Tasis and Islamists delays launch of milestone national dialogue

Uganda
President Museveni tries to woo an opposition deprived of its leaders

Kenya
Ruto persuaded by his neighbours to roll back privatisation of port authority

Ethiopia, Sudan
Sudanese rebel leader Joseph Tuka's close ties to the Ethiopian border

East Africa
Behind the scenes of Ruto and Museveni's bid to save EAC

Egypt, Sudan
Cairo increasingly drawn into the Sudan conflict

South Sudan
Opposition to Salva Kiir builds united front

Kenya
Ruto to carry Africa's voice from Nairobi summit to the G7

Kenya
Ruto's right-hand man calls ministers to order

Africa
Macky Sall's push to lead UN sparks divisions within AU

Sudan
Port Sudan government finds new Washington ally

Somalia
Future of AU mission clouded by extended political crisis

Ethiopia
Addis Ababa steps up efforts to join the World Trade Organization

Sudan
Watan alliance wants say in Quintet discussions

Spotlight | Kenya
Nairobi and Moscow to address perilous issue of Kenyan soldiers recruited by Russian army

Kenya, Uganda
Agribusiness giant Del Monte turns to Kampala

Ethiopia
Swiss entrepreneur Josua Gehrig again in federal court's sights

South Sudan
The turbulent rise of Kiir's new right-hand man Africano Mande

Ethiopia
Armed opposition to TPLF in Tigray tempted to return to the fold